Finance · Open for opinions
Will a bipartisan group of U.S. states succeed in imposing their own regulation on prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket by the end of 2026?
A bipartisan group of states, including Rhode Island (AG Peter Neronha), filed a lawsuit against Kalshi and Polymarket arguing that… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A bipartisan group of states, including Rhode Island (AG Peter Neronha), filed a lawsuit against Kalshi and Polymarket arguing that they operate illegal sports betting. The 3rd Circuit has already blocked New Jersey, but other states continue the dispute.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos um estado do grupo bipartidário obtiver decisão judicial definitiva (não suspensa por recurso) autorizando aplicação de leis estaduais contra Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31/12/2026. Fonte: comunicados oficiais dos Attorneys General envolvidos ou decisões publicadas nos tribunais federais.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.