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Technology · Open for opinions

Will the average rental price of the Nvidia H200 chip (GPU) be above $5 per hour in December 2026?

Kalshi and Polymarket have launched event contracts tracking the rental price of the Nvidia H200, a GPU chip widely used to run AI… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Kalshi and Polymarket have launched event contracts tracking the rental price of the Nvidia H200, a GPU chip widely used to run AI models. As of August 2026, Kalshi's most popular computing market had accumulated just over $100,000 in notional volume.

Source: www.advisorperspectives.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolúvel com base nos dados publicados pelos principais provedores de nuvem (AWS, Google Cloud, Azure) ou nos contratos de evento da Kalshi e Polymarket sobre o preço médio de aluguel do Nvidia H200 em dezembro de 2026. A fonte primária são os índices de preço de computação em nuvem divulgados publicamente.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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