Politics · Open for opinions
Will there be a US federal government shutdown before the end of 2026?
Polymarket hosts over 500 active markets related to the US government shutdown, including combinations with 2026 election results. 39 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 39 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket hosts over 500 active markets related to the US government shutdown, including combinations with 2026 election results.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o governo federal dos EUA entrar em shutdown (paralisação por falta de aprovação de orçamento ou resolução continuada) em qualquer momento entre 2026-09-18 e 2026-12-31, conforme anúncio oficial do Office of Management and Budget (OMB) ou cobertura da Associated Press.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.