Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's public debt exceed 85% of GDP by the end of 2026?
Brazil's public debt reached R$ 11 trillion, representing 82.9% of GDP. 73 opinions, 68% No
- Yes — 32%
- No — 68%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 73 opinions
Resolution rules
Brazil's public debt reached R$ 11 trillion, representing 82.9% of GDP. The fiscal trajectory worries analysts, with a Central Government deficit of R$ 13.6 billion in August 2026.
Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolúvel pelos dados oficiais da Dívida Bruta do Governo Geral (DBGG) divulgados pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br) ou pelo Tesouro Nacional referentes a dezembro de 2026. Se a relação dívida/PIB superar 85%, resolve como 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.