Technology · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will lead in trading volume in Q4 2026?
Kalshi and Polymarket compete for leadership in the US prediction market sector. 71 opinions, 45% Polymarket
- Kalshi — 39%
- Polymarket — 45%
- Other platform — 15%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket compete for leadership in the US prediction market sector. A snippet indicates that 'Kalshi leads Polymarket in the distribution of crypto prediction markets', while Polymarket built the category earlier.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base em relatório público ou dado verificável de volume total negociado no período de outubro a dezembro de 2026, divulgado pelas próprias plataformas ou por agregadores como Dune Analytics (dune.com) ou similar. A opção com maior volume declarado vence.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Polymarket has 45% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 55 points, a wrong one costs about 45.