Politics · Open for opinions
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. 78 opinions, 86% No
- Yes — 14%
- No — 86%
Deadline: October 28, 2026 at 03:59 AM UTC · 78 opinions
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 86% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 14 points, a wrong one costs about 86.