World · Open for opinions
Will the 10-year US Treasury note (T-Note) yield exceed 5% per year by December 31, 2026?
A global sell-off in government bonds is driving up yields and putting pressure on financing costs for consumers and governments… 74 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions
Resolution rules
A global sell-off in government bonds is driving up yields and putting pressure on financing costs for consumers and governments around the world, with structural forces that could keep yields elevated.
Source: nebraska.tv
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o rendimento do T-Note de 10 anos fechar acima de 5,00% ao ano em qualquer sessão de negociação até 31 de dezembro de 2026, conforme dados oficiais do Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA (treasury.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.