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Science · Open for opinions

Will a new peer-reviewed scientific study confirm that water reserves in the Moon's polar craters are insufficient to sustain lunar cities or heavy industry by December 2026?

Scientists have published an assessment indicating that, despite the discovery of water in the dark craters at the Moon's poles… 32 opinions, 69% Yes

  • Yes — 69%
  • No — 31%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 32 opinions

Resolution rules

Scientists have published an assessment indicating that, despite the discovery of water in the dark craters at the Moon's poles fueling the 'lunar race', the available volumes are insufficient to sustain large-scale bases, cities or industry. The scientific debate remains open with proposals for solut

Source: www.frontiersin.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se um artigo em periódico científico indexado (ex.: Nature, Science, Frontiers in Space Technologies) publicado até 31/12/2026 confirmar quantitativamente que o total de água-gelo acessível nos polos lunares é insuficiente para suporte a cidades ou operações industriais permanentes. Fonte: base de dados PubMed, Web of Science ou Frontiers.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.

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Will a new peer-reviewed scientific study confirm that water… — 69% Yes · VoxFi