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Politics · Open for opinions

Will Federal Deputy Mario Frias be indicted by the Federal Police in Operation Dark Horse by 10/31/2026?

The target of an operation investigating the diversion of funds, the market assesses possible legal escalation for the congressman. 33 opinions, 61% No

  • Yes — 39%
  • No — 61%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 33 opinions

Resolution rules

The target of an operation investigating the diversion of funds, the market assesses possible legal escalation for the congressman. It considers events occurring between 09/12 and 10/31.

Source: g1.globo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 12/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Polícia Federal indiciar formalmente o deputado Mario Frias na Operação Dark Horse até 31/10/2026, conforme nota oficial da PF, do MPF, do STF ou relatório de indiciamento noticiado pelo portal G1. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.

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