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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the US government pass federal legislation regulating prediction market platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi by March 2027?

According to the source, Trump has publicly declared support for federal control of platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, raising… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: March 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

According to the source, Trump has publicly declared support for federal control of platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, raising the regulatory debate about these markets in the US.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Promulgação de lei federal nos EUA especificamente disciplinando mercados de previsão (prediction markets), confirmada por publicação no Federal Register ou anúncio oficial da Casa Branca ou do Congresso até 31 de março de 2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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