Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in the US before October 1, 2027?
Prediction markets were wrong in assigning an 82% chance of passage in 2026. 64 opinions, 59% Yes
- Yes — 59%
- No — 41%
Deadline: March 24, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 64 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets were wrong in assigning an 82% chance of passage in 2026. Kalshi recorded a jump in odds for passage before October 2027, reaching 64%, following the failure of a key vote in September 2026.
Source: finance.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em confirmação oficial de assinatura presidencial da Clarity Act (lei de estrutura de mercado de criptoativos) registrada no Congresso dos EUA antes de 01/10/2027. Fonte: congress.gov ou comunicado oficial da Casa Branca.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.