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Technology · Open for opinions

Will Anthropic formally announce a pause or moratorium on training new models by October 31, 2026?

Considers official statements from Anthropic between September 17 and October 31, 2026, following statements by its CEO calling for a… 38 opinions, 74% No

  • Yes — 26%
  • No — 74%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 38 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers official statements from Anthropic between September 17 and October 31, 2026, following statements by its CEO calling for a slowdown in the sector.

Source: www.technologyreview.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 17/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Anthropic publicar em seu site oficial (anthropic.com) o anúncio formal de uma moratória ou pausa no treinamento de novos modelos de fronteira de IA até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 74% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 26 points, a wrong one costs about 74.

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Will Anthropic formally announce a pause or moratorium on training… — 74% No · VoxFi