Technology · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi maintain a market share above 90% in non-sports prediction market volume through December 2026?
In the week ending September 13, 2026, Kalshi held 96% of the non-sports market, driven by distribution via Robinhood, Coinbase,… 38 opinions, 58% Yes
- Yes — 58%
- No — 42%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
In the week ending September 13, 2026, Kalshi held 96% of the non-sports market, driven by distribution via Robinhood, Coinbase, Webull, and Moomoo, compared to a tied position with Polymarket in June 2026.
Source: x.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução positiva se a Kalshi registrar participação de mercado igual ou superior a 90% do volume semanal não-esportivo consolidado em pelo menos 8 das 14 semanas entre 18/09/2026 e 31/12/2026, conforme dados públicos do DeFi Rate ou relatórios equivalentes.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.