Science · Open for opinions
Will any space agency or peer-reviewed scientific study publish a new quantitative estimate of accessible lunar water ice reserves in the polar regions by December 2026?
Researchers recently stated that there is not enough water on the Moon to sustain a city, but highlighted that lunar soil may hold… 42 opinions, 69% Yes
- Yes — 69%
- No — 31%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
Researchers recently stated that there is not enough water on the Moon to sustain a city, but highlighted that lunar soil may hold keys to sustaining life in deep space. The topic is critical for the Artemis program and there is scientific pressure for updated estimates.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução: Sim se até 31/12/2026 NASA, ESA, ISRO ou grupo acadêmico publicar em periódico revisado por pares ou em relatório oficial nova estimativa de volume de gelo de água acessível nos polos lunares, referenciando dados mais recentes que 2025. Fonte: NASA Lunar Science ou base como AGU/Nature Astronomy.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.