Finance · Open for opinions
Will Copom cut the Selic rate again at the first meeting after the 2026 elections?
The Central Bank cut Selic from 14% to 13.75% in September 2026, described as the last cut before the elections. 38 opinions, 55% Hold at 13.75%
- Yes, new cut — 29%
- Hold at 13.75% — 55%
- Selic hike — 16%
Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
The Central Bank cut Selic from 14% to 13.75% in September 2026, described as the last cut before the elections. The next Copom meeting after the election will define the path of monetary policy.
Source: noticias.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no comunicado oficial do Copom (Banco Central do Brasil) divulgado na primeira reunião do comitê realizada após o primeiro turno das eleições de 2026. Fonte: bcb.gov.br.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Hold at 13.75% has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.