Finance · Open for opinions
Will Ibovespa close 2026 with a cumulative gain of over 30%?
The Ibovespa is up 27.5% so far in 2026, but recent circuit breaker episodes (a single-session 10% drop) and fiscal and political… 88 opinions, 63% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 63%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
The Ibovespa is up 27.5% so far in 2026, but recent circuit breaker episodes (a single-session 10% drop) and fiscal and political uncertainties raise doubts as to whether the index will manage to surpass the 30% mark by the end of the year.
Source: www.bloomberglinea.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada na variação percentual acumulada do Ibovespa (índice de fechamento) de 01/01/2026 a 31/12/2026, conforme dados oficiais da B3 (b3.com.br) ou Bloomberg. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a alta acumulada superar 30%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.