Finance · Open for opinions
Will a new comprehensive survey on prediction markets in the US published by February 28, 2027 indicate that the majority of users (more than 50%) achieved net profit?
Recent research revealed that 79% of users of prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket lose money, contradicting the… 26 opinions, 92% No
- Yes — 8%
- No — 92%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions
Resolution rules
Recent research revealed that 79% of users of prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket lose money, contradicting the perception of 'easy money'.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base em pesquisa ou relatório publicado por veículo de mídia reconhecido ou instituição de pesquisa até 28 de fevereiro de 2027, que apresente dados sobre rentabilidade líquida dos usuários de plataformas de mercados de previsão nos EUA. Se nenhuma pesquisa for publicada até a data, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 92% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 8 points, a wrong one costs about 92.