Technology · Open for opinions
Will Mistral AI's ML4 model rank above GPT-4o in at least one recognized public benchmark by March 31, 2027?
On October 6, 2026, the French startup Mistral introduced ML4, described by the company as the world's best open model, built with… 78 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions
Resolution rules
On October 6, 2026, the French startup Mistral introduced ML4, described by the company as the world's best open model, built with less computing power than its competitors. The market questions whether it will manage to surpass OpenAI's GPT-4o in objective metrics.
Source: www.cnnbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o modelo ML4 da Mistral AI aparecer com pontuação superior ao GPT-4o em pelo menos um benchmark público amplamente reconhecido (como LMSYS Chatbot Arena, MMLU ou HumanEval), conforme dados publicados nos sites oficiais dos benchmarks ou em artigos técnicos peer-reviewed até 31/03/2027. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.