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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Copom (Central Bank of Brazil) cut the Selic rate by at least one meeting by the end of 2026?

Economist Paulo Durigan pointed to the fall in interest rates as the major challenge of the Lula 4 government, criticizing the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Economist Paulo Durigan pointed to the fall in interest rates as the major challenge of the Lula 4 government, criticizing the fiscal plan of candidate Flávio Bolsonaro. The trajectory of the Selic is one of the central themes of the pre-election economic debate in 2026.

Source: www.brasil247.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Ata ou comunicado oficial do Copom publicado pelo Banco Central do Brasil após cada reunião do colegiado até dezembro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se em qualquer reunião realizada entre 24/08/2026 e 31/12/2026 o Copom deliberar pela redução da taxa Selic em relação ao nível vigente em 23/08/2026. Fonte: bcb.gov.br.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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