Finance · Open for opinions
Which platform will lead trading volume in prediction markets in Q4 2026?
Polymarket and Kalshi compete for global leadership in prediction markets. 21 opinions, 33% Polymarket
- Polymarket — 33%
- Kalshi — 33%
- Other platform — 33%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket and Kalshi compete for global leadership in prediction markets. While Polymarket operates on blockchain without US regulation, Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC, attracting institutional traders in the US. The sector hit a record of $2 billion weekly in 2026.
Source: www.goal.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na plataforma que registrar o maior volume total de negociações entre outubro e dezembro de 2026, conforme dados públicos consolidados do Dune Analytics ou relatório setorial amplamente reconhecido e publicado até 15/01/2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Polymarket has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.