Politics · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi and Polymarket's lobbying and donation expenditures exceed $5 million by November 30, 2026?
Consider lobby and donation records between 10/19 and 11/30 after the sector has already declared over $3 million. 81 opinions, 56% Yes
- Yes — 56%
- No — 44%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider lobby and donation records between 10/19 and 11/30 after the sector has already declared over $3 million.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se dados oficiais da OpenSecrets ou registros públicos do Congresso dos EUA indicarem gastos somados acima de US$ 5 milhões por Kalshi, Polymarket e Coalition for Prediction Markets até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.