Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazilian household default rates continue to rise in the 4th quarter of 2026, according to the Central Bank of Brazil?
The Treasury reported that default rates in Brazil reached their highest level since 2011, signaling a deterioration in credit for… 45 opinions, 51% Yes
- Yes — 51%
- No — 49%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 45 opinions
Resolution rules
The Treasury reported that default rates in Brazil reached their highest level since 2011, signaling a deterioration in credit for families amidst high mandatory expenses.
Source: sbtnews.sbt.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o índice de inadimplência do crédito às famílias (taxa de inadimplência com atraso superior a 90 dias), divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil na Nota de Crédito referente a dezembro de 2026 ou janeiro de 2027, registrar valor superior ao do 3º trimestre de 2026. Fonte: bcb.gov.br.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.