Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's general government gross debt exceed 83% of GDP by the end of 2026?
The government's gross debt has already reached 82.5% of GDP, the highest level in five years, increasing market concerns about the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The government's gross debt has already reached 82.5% of GDP, the highest level in five years, increasing market concerns about the country's fiscal trajectory in an election year.
Source: tvsimbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no relatório mensal de Estatísticas Fiscais do Banco Central do Brasil (nota de política fiscal). Se a dívida bruta do governo geral atingir valor superior a 83% do PIB em qualquer publicação referente a meses de 2026, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.