Finance · Open for opinions
What will be Kalshi's public stance regarding the Missouri cease-and-desist order by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated platform considered a benchmark in US prediction markets, was notified by… 40 opinions, 45% Will challenge the order in court
- Will comply voluntarily and suspend sports contracts in Missouri — 15%
- Will challenge the order in court — 45%
- Will ignore/issue no formal public response — 10%
- Will negotiate a settlement with Missouri without litigation — 30%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated platform considered a benchmark in US prediction markets, was notified by Missouri on 09/18/2026. Because it is federally regulated, it may argue that state regulation does not apply.
Source: sgfcitizen.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Comunicado oficial do Kalshi, processo judicial registrado ou acordo formal publicado pelo escritório do Procurador-Geral do Missouri até 2026-12-31, conforme fontes primárias das partes envolvidas.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Will challenge the order in court has 45% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 55 points, a wrong one costs about 45.