Finance · Open for opinions
Will the US pass specific federal regulation for stock prediction markets by March 2027?
The expansion of prediction markets for US stocks, led by Polymarket and Kalshi, has generated regulatory alerts. 71 opinions, 85% No
- Yes — 15%
- No — 85%
Deadline: March 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
The expansion of prediction markets for US stocks, led by Polymarket and Kalshi, has generated regulatory alerts. The sector has grown in prominence by allowing bets on almost everything, including elections and sporting events.
Source: ca.finance.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução mediante publicação de lei federal ou regra final de agência reguladora (CFTC ou SEC) no Federal Register dos EUA regulamentando explicitamente mercados de previsão sobre ativos mobiliários, até 31 de março de 2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.