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Finance · Open for opinions

Which range will best describe the accumulated 12-month IPCA released by IBGE in December 2026?

Concerns over the 'fiscal knot' and political expectations pointed out by November 2026 coverage make inflation… 89 opinions, 42% Between 4.0% and 5.0%

  • Below 4.0% — 8%
  • Between 4.0% and 5.0% — 42%
  • Between 5.0% and 6.0% — 38%
  • Above 6.0% — 12%

Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

Concerns over the 'fiscal knot' and political expectations pointed out by November 2026 coverage make inflation projections a central indicator for monitoring the financial market.

Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no IPCA acumulado em 12 meses referente a novembro de 2026, divulgado pelo IBGE (ibge.gov.br) em dezembro de 2026. A faixa que contiver o valor oficial divulgado resolve o mercado.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Between 4.0% and 5.0% has 42% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 58 points, a wrong one costs about 42.

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Which range will best describe the accumulated 12-month IPCA… — 42% Between 4.0% and 5.0% · VoxFi