Finance · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass new legislation imposing stricter restrictions on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket by March 2027?
The U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The U.S. Senate has already banned trading in prediction markets domestically, and there is growing debate about the need for broader federal regulation for platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se um projeto de lei que imponha novas restrições regulatórias a plataformas de mercado de previsão for aprovado por ambas as casas do Congresso dos EUA e sancionado pelo presidente até 01/03/2027, conforme congress.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.