World · Open for opinions
Will the Bank of England cut its benchmark interest rate below 3.75% by December 2026?
According to the IFS, the conflict in the Middle East has pushed up UK inflation, keeping it above the Bank of England's target for… 79 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
According to the IFS, the conflict in the Middle East has pushed up UK inflation, keeping it above the Bank of England's target for five consecutive years. In response, the bank decided to keep the Bank Rate at 3.75% as inflationary pressures persist and central banks around the world adopt cautious stances.
Source: ifs.org.uk
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
O mercado resolve como 'Sim' se o Comitê de Política Monetária (MPC) do Banco da Inglaterra anunciar redução da Bank Rate para abaixo de 3,75% em qualquer reunião realizada até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Fonte oficial: comunicado do Banco da Inglaterra (bankofengland.co.uk). Caso a taxa permaneça em 3,75% ou seja elevada, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.