Technology · Open for opinions
Will Polymarket maintain a higher market share than Kalshi (in trading volume) until December 31, 2026?
Recent data shows Polymarket with 47% of the market versus 34% for Kalshi. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Recent data shows Polymarket with 47% of the market versus 34% for Kalshi. With Polymarket obtaining regulatory approval in the US, the competition for the North American market is expected to intensify.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se análises públicas disponíveis em CryptoRank, Dune Analytics ou publicações especializadas indicarem que a Polymarket detém parcela de volume maior que a Kalshi no acumulado de 2026, comparando os dados mais recentes até 31/12/2026. Referência atual: Polymarket 47% vs Kalshi 34%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.