Technology · Open for opinions
Will the Pentagon announce an official military technology contract with Anduril or xAI by 11/30/2026?
The Pentagon's rapprochement with Elon Musk and Palmer Luckey has reignited expectations of new defense AI contracts. 74 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 74 opinions
Resolution rules
The Pentagon's rapprochement with Elon Musk and Palmer Luckey has reignited expectations of new defense AI contracts.
Source: techcrunch.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 02/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Departamento de Defesa dos EUA formalizar contrato ou parceria em IA ou tecnologia de defesa com Anduril ou xAI até 30/11/2026, conforme comunicado oficial no defense.gov ou divulgado pela Reuters, AP ou TechCrunch. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.