Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass legislation imposing restrictions on prediction markets for political elections by March 2027?
In September 2026, election administrators and analysts expressed concern about the impact of the growing volume of bets in… 21 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, election administrators and analysts expressed concern about the impact of the growing volume of bets in prediction markets on elections, raising the debate about possible federal regulation of the sector.
Source: www.mcall.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos EUA aprovar e o presidente sancionar lei que restrinja explicitamente a operação de mercados de previsão sobre eleições políticas até 1º de março de 2027. Fonte de verificação: Registro do Congresso (congress.gov) e publicação no Federal Register. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.