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Science · Open for opinions

Will the BepiColombo mission confirm in an official scientific publication that Mercury is shrinking at a faster rate than previously estimated?

A study published in September 2026 (LA Times) indicates that Mercury may be shrinking faster than expected; the BepiColombo… 30 opinions, 53% No

  • Yes — 47%
  • No — 53%

Deadline: March 14, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 30 opinions

Resolution rules

A study published in September 2026 (LA Times) indicates that Mercury may be shrinking faster than expected; the BepiColombo spacecraft pair was approaching Mercury for new observations.

Source: www.latimes.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se a ESA ou equipe científica da missão BepiColombo publicar em periódico científico revisado por pares (ou comunicado oficial da ESA/NASA) resultados de flyby confirmando taxa de contração de Mercúrio superior às estimativas anteriores ao estudo de setembro de 2026, até 14/03/2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.

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