Finance · Open for opinions
Will the UK FCA publish a public consultation or official guideline on prediction markets by 11/30/2026?
The British regulator has opened talks with Kalshi and Polymarket to evaluate rules in the UK [4]. 79 opinions, 54% No
- Yes — 46%
- No — 54%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
The British regulator has opened talks with Kalshi and Polymarket to evaluate rules in the UK [4].
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 11/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) publicar documento de consulta pública ou diretriz regulatória sobre mercados de predição até 30/11/2026, conforme portal oficial fca.org.uk. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.