Politics · Open for opinions
Will U.S. congressional salaries be increased by December 31, 2026?
The Kalshi prediction market actively lists contracts on congressional salary increases, with current pricing indicating a 52%… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Kalshi prediction market actively lists contracts on congressional salary increases, with current pricing indicating a 52% probability of an increase, reflecting real political debate in Washington.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se legislação aprovando aumento salarial para membros do Congresso dos EUA for sancionada pelo presidente até 31/12/2026, conforme registro oficial do Congresso (congress.gov) ou Federal Register. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.