Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's gross public debt exceed 84% of GDP in any month by December 2026?
Brazil's gross public debt is currently at 82.5% of GDP, according to projections by economists collected by the Central Bank, with… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Brazil's gross public debt is currently at 82.5% of GDP, according to projections by economists collected by the Central Bank, with an upward trajectory expected in the coming years.
Source: www.estadao.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada nas divulgações mensais de dívida pública bruta do governo geral (DBGG) publicadas pelo Banco Central do Brasil na Nota para a Imprensa – Política Fiscal. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se qualquer leitura mensal publicada até janeiro de 2027, referente ao exercício de 2026, registrar DBGG acima de 84% do PIB. Fonte: bcb.gov.br.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.