Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the combined trading volume on Polymarket and Kalshi exceed $30 billion by the end of 2026?
The total volume of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi jumped from less than $5 billion to about $24 billion in less than… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The total volume of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi jumped from less than $5 billion to about $24 billion in less than a year, according to data reported in 2026.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se relatório de qualquer fonte reconhecida (Bloomberg, Dune Analytics ou publicação oficial das plataformas) confirmar que o volume combinado acumulado em 2026 de Polymarket e Kalshi superou US$ 30 bilhões. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.