Politics · Open for opinions
Will Susan Collins outperform the polls?
If Susan Collins's margin of victory outperforms that of the Real Clear Polling average at 10 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026 in the 2026 U.S. 88 opinions, 59% Yes
- Yes — 59%
- No — 41%
Deadline: November 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
If Susan Collins's margin of victory outperforms that of the Real Clear Polling average at 10 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026 in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.