Finance · Open for opinions
Will any U.S. state pass a law banning or restricting prediction market platforms (such as Kalshi or Polymarket) before the November 2026 elections?
According to reports, states are actively trying to ban prediction market platforms while trading volume for the 2026 elections… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to reports, states are actively trying to ban prediction market platforms while trading volume for the 2026 elections surges.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se ao menos um estado americano promulgar legislação ou ordem executiva com força de lei que proíba ou restrinja operacionalmente plataformas de mercados de previsão até 3 de novembro de 2026. Fonte: legislaturas estaduais oficiais ou cobertura jornalística confirmada por fonte governamental.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.