Technology · Open for opinions
What will be the most likely outcome of Dario Amodei's call to slow down AI advancement by the end of 2026?
Dario Amodei (Anthropic) published a historic letter in September 2026 advocating for a… 28 opinions, 61% Only public statements without concrete action
- Formal agreement among leading AI companies — 7%
- Regulatory response from at least one G7 government — 18%
- Only public statements without concrete action — 61%
- Proposal abandoned or ignored by the industry — 14%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 28 opinions
Resolution rules
Dario Amodei (Anthropic) published a historic letter in September 2026 advocating for a slowdown in the advancement of AI model capabilities. Sam Altman (OpenAI) and Elon Musk (xAI) publicly declared agreement with the position, generating major global repercussions.
Source: noticias.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada no evento de maior evidência documentada até 31/12/2026: (1) documento formal assinado por ao menos três das cinco maiores empresas de IA; (2) lei ou decreto governamental de país do G7 diretamente citando a proposta; (3) ausência de qualquer documento formal, apenas declarações; (4) silêncio público das empresas ou retratação. Fonte: cobertura jornalística verificável e canais oficiais das entidades envolvidas.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Only public statements without concrete action has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.