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Science · Open for opinions

Will the BIPM recognize thorium-229 in its frequency standard recommendations by November 30, 2026?

Measures the response of international metrological bodies to the first operational tests of nuclear clocks. 79 opinions, 70% No

  • Yes — 30%
  • No — 70%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Measures the response of international metrological bodies to the first operational tests of nuclear clocks.

Source: www.nature.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 12/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau Internacional de Pesos e Medidas (BIPM) ou o comitê CCTF publicar recomendação formal incluindo a transição nuclear do tório-229 como padrão de frequência até 30/11/2026, no site oficial bipm.org. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.

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