Science · Open for opinions
Will a new peer-reviewed scientific study confirm that Mercury has shrunk by more than 20 km in diameter since its formation, exceeding the current estimate of 14.5 miles (≈23 km)?
A new study published in September 2026 revealed that Mercury has lost up to 14.5 miles (≈23 km) in diameter since its birth, a… 40 opinions, 78% No
- Yes — 23%
- No — 78%
Deadline: March 19, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions
Resolution rules
A new study published in September 2026 revealed that Mercury has lost up to 14.5 miles (≈23 km) in diameter since its birth, a figure significantly greater than previously estimated.
Source: mashable.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em publicação em revista científica indexada (ex.: Nature, Science, Icarus) até 2027-03-19, reportando estimativa superior a 20 km de redução no diâmetro de Mercúrio. Na ausência de tal publicação, resolve como Não.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.