Politics · Open for opinions
Will November 4 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (11/2 - 11/8)?
If Nov 4, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in… 89 opinions, 71% No
- Yes — 29%
- No — 71%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
If Nov 4, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.