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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the 12-month accumulated IPCA be below 5% in the release for October 2026?

IBGE monthly releases the IPCA, Brazil's main inflation indicator and reference for the Central Bank's inflation-targeting system. 78 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

IBGE monthly releases the IPCA, Brazil's main inflation indicator and reference for the Central Bank's inflation-targeting system. The October result is awaited by analysts and the financial market.

Source: g1.globo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na divulgação oficial do IBGE do Índice Nacional de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA) de outubro de 2026, prevista para a segunda semana de novembro de 2026. Resolves 'Sim' se o acumulado em 12 meses for inferior a 5,00%; 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the 12-month accumulated IPCA be below 5% in the release for… — 50% Yes · VoxFi