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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the federal government publish a decree of contingency or spending cuts in the second half of 2026?

Economists such as Felipe Salto and Fábio Giambiagi publicly debate the need for a deeper fiscal adjustment to reduce the trap of… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Economists such as Felipe Salto and Fábio Giambiagi publicly debate the need for a deeper fiscal adjustment to reduce the trap of high interest rates and growing public debt in Brazil.

Source: economia.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve SIM se o Ministério da Fazenda ou a Secretaria do Tesouro Nacional publicar decreto ou portaria oficial de contingenciamento de despesas ou bloqueio de gastos entre 2026-07-08 e 2026-12-31, conforme o Diário Oficial da União (in.gov.br). Resolve NÃO caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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