Finance · Open for opinions
Will US PCE inflation be above the 2% target at the end of 2026?
Economists forecast average PCE inflation of 3.5% for 2026, above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, which is one of the factors… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Economists forecast average PCE inflation of 3.5% for 2026, above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, which is one of the factors leading the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged.
Source: whbl.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (bea.gov) referente a dezembro de 2026 registrar variação anual superior a 2,0%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.