Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Provisional Measure for the Selective Tax ('sin tax') be converted into law by the National Congress by December 31, 2026?
The government plans to submit the Provisional Measure for the Selective Tax ('sin tax') to Congress this week (Oct/2026). 87 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
The government plans to submit the Provisional Measure for the Selective Tax ('sin tax') to Congress this week (Oct/2026). The tax will apply to alcoholic beverages, soft drinks, cigarettes, vehicles, and betting, with estimated revenue of R$ 41.9 billion in 2027.
Source: g1.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Mercado resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso Nacional converter a MP do Imposto Seletivo em lei ordinária até 31/12/2026, com publicação no Diário Oficial da União. Caso a MP expire, seja rejeitada ou não votada até essa data, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.