Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass any specific legislation regulating prediction markets by March 2027?
With the 2026 midterm elections generating billions in volume on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, regulatory pressures are… 22 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions
Resolution rules
With the 2026 midterm elections generating billions in volume on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, regulatory pressures are growing in the U.S. Congress and judiciary.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos EUA (Câmara e Senado) aprovarem e o presidente sancionar alguma lei federal que regule especificamente mercados de previsão (prediction markets) até 31/03/2027, conforme registro no Congress.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.