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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the November 2026 FOMC meeting?
With US inflation accelerating to 3.7% in September 2026 (up from 3.4% in August), traders have increased their bets on further… 81 opinions, 72% Yes
- Yes — 72%
- No — 28%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
With US inflation accelerating to 3.7% in September 2026 (up from 3.4% in August), traders have increased their bets on further interest rate hikes by the Fed. The conflict with Iran is putting upward pressure on fuel prices, creating an additional challenge for the monetary authority.
Source: www.ft.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar aumento da taxa dos fed funds na reunião do FOMC de novembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado em federalreserve.gov. Resolve como 'Não' se a taxa for mantida ou reduzida.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.