Politics · Open for opinions
Which party will win the US Senate race in the 2026 midterm elections?
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are already actively trading this event, with Democrats priced at 61% and… 69 opinions, 61% Democrats
- Democrats — 61%
- Republicans — 39%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are already actively trading this event, with Democrats priced at 61% and Republicans at 39% according to aggregated data from September 2026.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no partido que conquistar a maioria de cadeiras (51 ou mais) no Senado dos EUA após a apuração oficial das eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme divulgado pelo Clerk of the U.S. Senate ou pelo Associated Press Election Results.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Democrats has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.