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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the US Dollar (USD/BRL) close above R$ 6.00 on the last business day of December 2026?

The USD/BRL exchange rate is one of the main economic indicators tracked by Folha's market desk, directly impacted by the Central… 78 opinions, 58% Yes

  • Yes — 58%
  • No — 42%

Deadline: January 5, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

The USD/BRL exchange rate is one of the main economic indicators tracked by Folha's market desk, directly impacted by the Central Bank's monetary policy and the Brazilian macroeconomic environment.

Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se a cotação de fechamento do dólar comercial (PTAX de venda) no último dia útil de dezembro de 2026 for superior a R$ 6,00, conforme divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br/estabilidadefinanceira/historicocotacoes). Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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